Average wholesale
Ksh34.57
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh67.43
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh32.86
95.1% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-40.0%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh30.99 | Ksh71.32 |
| D+2 | Ksh30.71 | Ksh71.17 |
| D+3 | Ksh30.43 | Ksh71.03 |
| D+4 | Ksh30.15 | Ksh70.88 |
| D+5 | Ksh29.87 | Ksh70.73 |
| D+6 | Ksh29.59 | Ksh70.58 |
| D+7 | Ksh29.31 | Ksh70.43 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Voi Wholesale | Taita-Taveta | Ksh60.00 | Ksh0.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh40.00 | Ksh60.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kathonzweni | Makueni | Ksh100.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kutus | Kirinyaga | Ksh40.00 | Ksh50.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kibuye | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh90.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kagio | Kirinyaga | Ksh40.00 | Ksh60.00 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Mukuyu Market | — | Ksh0.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh57.14 | Ksh85.71 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Makutano Embu | Embu | Ksh45.00 | Ksh70.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 40.0% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh35.00
Avg R: Ksh51.67
Spread: Ksh16.67
Vol: Ksh6.24
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh50.71
Avg R: Ksh75.24
Spread: Ksh24.52
Vol: Ksh7.41
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh50.71
Avg R: Ksh75.24
Spread: Ksh24.52
Vol: Ksh7.41
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh35.00
Avg R: Ksh51.67
Spread: Ksh16.67
Vol: Ksh6.24
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.