Average wholesale
Ksh90.70
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh151.34
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh60.64
66.9% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Rising (12.5%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh78.34 | Ksh163.73 |
| D+2 | Ksh77.66 | Ksh164.09 |
| D+3 | Ksh76.99 | Ksh164.46 |
| D+4 | Ksh76.31 | Ksh164.82 |
| D+5 | Ksh75.64 | Ksh165.18 |
| D+6 | Ksh74.97 | Ksh165.55 |
| D+7 | Ksh74.29 | Ksh165.91 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh80.00 | Ksh110.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh110.00 | Ksh160.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh145.00 | Ksh190.00 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh110.00 | Ksh125.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh110.00 | Ksh125.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Taveta Retail Market | Taita-Taveta | Ksh95.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Makutano Embu | Embu | Ksh110.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Maua | Meru | Ksh133.33 | Ksh150.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh177.78 | Ksh225.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh110.00 | Ksh125.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Demand pressure detected
Retail moved up by 12.5% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Rising
High margin
Recommendation
Sellers should list sooner; buyers should lock supply early before the next update.
- Sellers: raise visibility (sponsored listing) and sell sooner.
- Buyers: negotiate early; consider alternative markets.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh110.00
Avg R: Ksh125.00
Spread: Ksh15.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh109.26
Avg R: Ksh156.67
Spread: Ksh47.41
Vol: Ksh4.71
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh143.33
Avg R: Ksh186.67
Spread: Ksh43.33
Vol: Ksh4.71
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh143.33
Avg R: Ksh186.67
Spread: Ksh43.33
Vol: Ksh4.71
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh109.26
Avg R: Ksh156.67
Spread: Ksh47.41
Vol: Ksh4.71
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh110.00
Avg R: Ksh125.00
Spread: Ksh15.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.