Average wholesale
Ksh112.68
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh184.93
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh72.25
64.1% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Rising (25.0%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh109.08 | Ksh185.87 |
| D+2 | Ksh108.94 | Ksh185.83 |
| D+3 | Ksh108.81 | Ksh185.79 |
| D+4 | Ksh108.67 | Ksh185.75 |
| D+5 | Ksh108.54 | Ksh185.71 |
| D+6 | Ksh108.41 | Ksh185.67 |
| D+7 | Ksh108.27 | Ksh185.63 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh120.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Sabatia | Kakamega | Ksh155.56 | Ksh1,538.46 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh173.91 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh124.44 | Ksh170.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh145.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Katito | Kisumu | Ksh150.00 | Ksh159.09 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh110.00 | Ksh125.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh110.00 | Ksh125.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Taveta Retail Market | Taita-Taveta | Ksh130.00 | Ksh140.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kangeta | Meru | Ksh140.00 | Ksh150.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Demand pressure detected
Retail moved up by 25.0% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Rising
High margin
Recommendation
Sellers should list sooner; buyers should lock supply early before the next update.
- Sellers: raise visibility (sponsored listing) and sell sooner.
- Buyers: negotiate early; consider alternative markets.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh110.00
Avg R: Ksh125.00
Spread: Ksh15.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh123.70
Avg R: Ksh173.33
Spread: Ksh49.63
Vol: Ksh2.36
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh173.91
Spread: Ksh173.91
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh146.67
Avg R: Ksh183.33
Spread: Ksh36.67
Vol: Ksh23.57
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh173.91
Spread: Ksh173.91
Vol: Ksh0.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh123.70
Avg R: Ksh173.33
Spread: Ksh49.63
Vol: Ksh2.36
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.