Average wholesale
Ksh111.23
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh130.64
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh19.41
17.5% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-16.7%)
Condition: Balanced
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh68.59 | Ksh121.09 |
| D+2 | Ksh69.09 | Ksh121.00 |
| D+3 | Ksh69.60 | Ksh120.92 |
| D+4 | Ksh70.10 | Ksh120.83 |
| D+5 | Ksh70.60 | Ksh120.75 |
| D+6 | Ksh71.11 | Ksh120.66 |
| D+7 | Ksh71.61 | Ksh120.57 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh100.00 | Ksh140.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Gakoromone | Meru | Ksh57.14 | Ksh64.29 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh76.92 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kutus | Kirinyaga | Ksh70.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Taveta Retail Market | Taita-Taveta | Ksh75.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Embu Town | Embu | Ksh45.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Makutano Embu | Embu | Ksh80.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh80.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kabati - Muranga | — | Ksh80.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Mukuyu Market | — | Ksh0.00 | Ksh150.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 16.7% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest Balanced conditions.
Falling
Balanced
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh79.75
Spread: Ksh79.75
Vol: Ksh8.20
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh93.33
Avg R: Ksh133.33
Spread: Ksh40.00
Vol: Ksh9.43
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh93.33
Avg R: Ksh133.33
Spread: Ksh40.00
Vol: Ksh9.43
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh79.75
Spread: Ksh79.75
Vol: Ksh8.20
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.