Average wholesale
Ksh77.76
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh271.30
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh193.53
248.9% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Stable
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh88.51 | Ksh127.99 |
| D+2 | Ksh89.04 | Ksh126.87 |
| D+3 | Ksh89.57 | Ksh125.75 |
| D+4 | Ksh90.09 | Ksh124.62 |
| D+5 | Ksh90.62 | Ksh123.50 |
| D+6 | Ksh91.15 | Ksh122.38 |
| D+7 | Ksh91.68 | Ksh121.26 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh80.00 | Ksh110.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh83.33 | Ksh100.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh95.00 | Ksh130.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh320.00 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh75.00 | Ksh85.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh75.00 | Ksh85.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Taveta Retail Market | Taita-Taveta | Ksh75.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kangeta | Meru | Ksh90.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Embu Town | Embu | Ksh80.00 | Ksh125.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Makutano Embu | Embu | Ksh85.00 | Ksh100.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Market is Stable
Retail prices are Stable with an average spread of 248.9% between retail and wholesale.
Stable
High margin
Recommendation
Watch the next 2–3 updates for confirmation before making bulk decisions.
- If you’re selling, focus on quality and reliable supply.
- If you’re buying, compare counties/markets and negotiate early.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh75.00
Avg R: Ksh85.00
Spread: Ksh10.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh83.33
Avg R: Ksh103.33
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh4.71
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh98.33
Avg R: Ksh130.00
Spread: Ksh31.67
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh286.67
Spread: Ksh286.67
Vol: Ksh24.94
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh98.33
Avg R: Ksh130.00
Spread: Ksh31.67
Vol: Ksh0.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh83.33
Avg R: Ksh103.33
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh4.71
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.