Average wholesale
Ksh54.80
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh99.51
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh44.71
81.6% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-57.1%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh54.24 | Ksh88.11 |
| D+2 | Ksh54.26 | Ksh87.62 |
| D+3 | Ksh54.29 | Ksh87.13 |
| D+4 | Ksh54.31 | Ksh86.64 |
| D+5 | Ksh54.34 | Ksh86.15 |
| D+6 | Ksh54.36 | Ksh85.67 |
| D+7 | Ksh54.39 | Ksh85.18 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh60.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh40.00 | Ksh60.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh156.25 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kutus | Kirinyaga | Ksh90.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh60.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Mukuyu Market | — | Ksh80.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Mulot | Bomet | Ksh30.00 | Ksh50.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Embu Town | Embu | Ksh70.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kangeta | Meru | Ksh70.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Makutano Embu | Embu | Ksh60.00 | Ksh80.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 57.1% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh40.00
Avg R: Ksh62.50
Spread: Ksh22.50
Vol: Ksh4.33
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh60.00
Avg R: Ksh80.00
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Kutus
Avg W: Ksh86.67
Avg R: Ksh110.00
Spread: Ksh23.33
Vol: Ksh8.16
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh165.37
Spread: Ksh165.37
Vol: Ksh9.56
Kutus
Avg W: Ksh86.67
Avg R: Ksh110.00
Spread: Ksh23.33
Vol: Ksh8.16
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh60.00
Avg R: Ksh80.00
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.