Average wholesale
Ksh36.65
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh73.14
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh36.49
99.6% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-40.0%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh36.30 | Ksh72.16 |
| D+2 | Ksh36.04 | Ksh71.96 |
| D+3 | Ksh35.78 | Ksh71.75 |
| D+4 | Ksh35.52 | Ksh71.55 |
| D+5 | Ksh35.25 | Ksh71.35 |
| D+6 | Ksh34.99 | Ksh71.15 |
| D+7 | Ksh34.73 | Ksh70.94 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh50.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh125.00 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kinango | Kwale | Ksh70.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kutus | Kirinyaga | Ksh30.00 | Ksh50.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kangeta | Meru | Ksh90.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Diani Market | Kwale | Ksh40.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Makutano Embu | Embu | Ksh25.00 | Ksh40.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh25.00 | Ksh40.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh40.00 | Ksh70.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 40.0% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh41.67
Avg R: Ksh70.00
Spread: Ksh28.33
Vol: Ksh8.16
Kutus
Avg W: Ksh51.67
Avg R: Ksh73.33
Spread: Ksh21.67
Vol: Ksh26.25
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Kutus
Avg W: Ksh51.67
Avg R: Ksh73.33
Spread: Ksh21.67
Vol: Ksh26.25
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh41.67
Avg R: Ksh70.00
Spread: Ksh28.33
Vol: Ksh8.16
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.