Average wholesale
Ksh86.29
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh137.17
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh50.88
59.0% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Rising (118.8%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh86.20 | Ksh128.07 |
| D+2 | Ksh85.86 | Ksh127.23 |
| D+3 | Ksh85.53 | Ksh126.39 |
| D+4 | Ksh85.20 | Ksh125.56 |
| D+5 | Ksh84.87 | Ksh124.72 |
| D+6 | Ksh84.53 | Ksh123.88 |
| D+7 | Ksh84.20 | Ksh123.04 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh80.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Sabatia | Kakamega | Ksh111.11 | Ksh115.38 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh100.00 | Ksh140.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh120.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh156.52 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh90.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh90.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Taveta Retail Market | Taita-Taveta | Ksh90.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kangeta | Meru | Ksh100.00 | Ksh110.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Embu Town | Embu | Ksh150.00 | Ksh125.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Demand pressure detected
Retail moved up by 118.8% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Rising
High margin
Recommendation
Sellers should list sooner; buyers should lock supply early before the next update.
- Sellers: raise visibility (sponsored listing) and sell sooner.
- Buyers: negotiate early; consider alternative markets.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Sabatia
Avg W: Ksh115.55
Avg R: Ksh115.38
Spread: Ksh-0.17
Vol: Ksh0.00
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh90.00
Avg R: Ksh120.00
Spread: Ksh30.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh100.00
Avg R: Ksh140.00
Spread: Ksh40.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh120.00
Avg R: Ksh150.00
Spread: Ksh30.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh148.68
Spread: Ksh148.68
Vol: Ksh12.95
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh100.00
Avg R: Ksh140.00
Spread: Ksh40.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.