Average wholesale
Ksh152.16
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh290.12
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh137.96
90.7% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-37.1%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh204.16 | Ksh324.51 |
| D+2 | Ksh206.30 | Ksh325.73 |
| D+3 | Ksh208.45 | Ksh326.95 |
| D+4 | Ksh210.59 | Ksh328.17 |
| D+5 | Ksh212.74 | Ksh329.39 |
| D+6 | Ksh214.88 | Ksh330.61 |
| D+7 | Ksh217.03 | Ksh331.83 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Voi Retail | Taita-Taveta | Ksh0.00 | Ksh40.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kathonzweni | Makueni | Ksh200.00 | Ksh300.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Maua | Meru | Ksh322.22 | Ksh440.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kagio | Kirinyaga | Ksh180.00 | Ksh250.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kibuye | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh315.79 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Kabati - Muranga | — | Ksh0.00 | Ksh600.00 |
| Fri, 24 Apr 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh263.16 |
| Fri, 24 Apr 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh700.00 |
| Thu, 23 Apr 2026 | Kutus | Kirinyaga | Ksh320.00 | Ksh350.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 37.1% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh426.32
Spread: Ksh426.32
Vol: Ksh194.71
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh426.32
Spread: Ksh426.32
Vol: Ksh194.71
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.