Average wholesale
Ksh60.12
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh82.39
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh22.27
37.0% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-27.3%)
Condition: Balanced
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh46.46 | Ksh81.08 |
| D+2 | Ksh46.43 | Ksh80.88 |
| D+3 | Ksh46.39 | Ksh80.69 |
| D+4 | Ksh46.35 | Ksh80.50 |
| D+5 | Ksh46.32 | Ksh80.31 |
| D+6 | Ksh46.28 | Ksh80.11 |
| D+7 | Ksh46.25 | Ksh79.92 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Maua | Meru | Ksh90.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh57.78 | Ksh75.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh90.00 | Ksh2.22 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kathonzweni | Makueni | Ksh60.00 | Ksh70.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kagio | Kirinyaga | Ksh80.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kibuye | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh90.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Khayega | Kakamega | Ksh100.00 | Ksh115.38 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh71.43 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Sabatia | Kakamega | Ksh57.78 | Ksh68.18 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Makutano Embu | Embu | Ksh80.00 | Ksh110.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 27.3% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest Balanced conditions.
Falling
Balanced
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh85.55
Avg R: Ksh74.07
Spread: Ksh-11.48
Vol: Ksh50.81
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh85.55
Avg R: Ksh74.07
Spread: Ksh-11.48
Vol: Ksh50.81
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.