Average wholesale
Ksh104.61
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh209.22
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh104.62
100.0% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-53.8%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh114.24 | Ksh212.84 |
| D+2 | Ksh114.28 | Ksh212.87 |
| D+3 | Ksh114.33 | Ksh212.90 |
| D+4 | Ksh114.37 | Ksh212.93 |
| D+5 | Ksh114.41 | Ksh212.96 |
| D+6 | Ksh114.46 | Ksh213.00 |
| D+7 | Ksh114.50 | Ksh213.03 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh95.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh175.00 | Ksh220.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh280.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Nkubu | Meru | Ksh144.44 | Ksh170.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Maua | Meru | Ksh166.67 | Ksh200.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh175.00 | Ksh220.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh280.00 |
| Fri, 24 Apr 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh260.00 |
| Thu, 23 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh175.00 | Ksh220.00 |
| Tue, 21 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh175.00 | Ksh220.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 53.8% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh175.00
Avg R: Ksh220.00
Spread: Ksh45.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh273.33
Spread: Ksh273.33
Vol: Ksh9.43
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh273.33
Spread: Ksh273.33
Vol: Ksh9.43
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh175.00
Avg R: Ksh220.00
Spread: Ksh45.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.