Average wholesale
Ksh80.82
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh128.65
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh47.83
59.2% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Rising (133.3%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh73.17 | Ksh125.04 |
| D+2 | Ksh72.99 | Ksh124.82 |
| D+3 | Ksh72.80 | Ksh124.60 |
| D+4 | Ksh72.61 | Ksh124.39 |
| D+5 | Ksh72.43 | Ksh124.17 |
| D+6 | Ksh72.24 | Ksh123.95 |
| D+7 | Ksh72.05 | Ksh123.73 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Nkubu | Meru | Ksh88.89 | Ksh100.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh133.33 | Ksh175.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Maua | Meru | Ksh120.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh54.00 | Ksh90.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kagio | Kirinyaga | Ksh140.00 | Ksh170.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh54.00 | Ksh90.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kibuye | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh200.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Khayega | Kakamega | Ksh112.50 | Ksh125.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh173.91 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Sabatia | Kakamega | Ksh124.44 | Ksh136.36 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Demand pressure detected
Retail moved up by 133.3% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Rising
High margin
Recommendation
Sellers should list sooner; buyers should lock supply early before the next update.
- Sellers: raise visibility (sponsored listing) and sell sooner.
- Buyers: negotiate early; consider alternative markets.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh54.00
Avg R: Ksh90.00
Spread: Ksh36.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh168.11
Spread: Ksh168.11
Vol: Ksh8.20
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh168.11
Spread: Ksh168.11
Vol: Ksh8.20
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh54.00
Avg R: Ksh90.00
Spread: Ksh36.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.