Average wholesale
Ksh55.52
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh115.25
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh59.73
107.6% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-33.3%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh36.20 | Ksh110.80 |
| D+2 | Ksh35.96 | Ksh111.14 |
| D+3 | Ksh35.72 | Ksh111.48 |
| D+4 | Ksh35.48 | Ksh111.82 |
| D+5 | Ksh35.25 | Ksh112.16 |
| D+6 | Ksh35.01 | Ksh112.50 |
| D+7 | Ksh34.77 | Ksh112.84 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh45.00 | Ksh90.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Mogogosiek Market | Bomet | Ksh50.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Voi Retail | Taita-Taveta | Ksh0.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh40.00 | Ksh60.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Maua | Meru | Ksh80.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kathonzweni | Makueni | Ksh60.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kutus | Kirinyaga | Ksh60.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Gakoromone | Meru | Ksh80.00 | Ksh90.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kagio | Kirinyaga | Ksh30.00 | Ksh50.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 33.3% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh36.67
Avg R: Ksh56.67
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh9.43
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh41.67
Avg R: Ksh60.00
Spread: Ksh18.33
Vol: Ksh8.16
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh45.00
Avg R: Ksh90.00
Spread: Ksh45.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Kagio
Avg W: Ksh115.00
Avg R: Ksh170.00
Spread: Ksh55.00
Vol: Ksh114.75
Voi Retail
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh110.00
Spread: Ksh110.00
Vol: Ksh8.16
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh45.00
Avg R: Ksh90.00
Spread: Ksh45.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.