Average wholesale
Ksh46.91
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh87.96
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh41.05
87.5% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-18.8%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh42.56 | Ksh76.49 |
| D+2 | Ksh42.44 | Ksh76.13 |
| D+3 | Ksh42.33 | Ksh75.77 |
| D+4 | Ksh42.22 | Ksh75.41 |
| D+5 | Ksh42.10 | Ksh75.05 |
| D+6 | Ksh41.99 | Ksh74.69 |
| D+7 | Ksh41.88 | Ksh74.33 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh70.00 | Ksh140.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Nkubu | Meru | Ksh90.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Voi Retail | Taita-Taveta | Ksh0.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh115.56 | Ksh130.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kapkwen | Bomet | Ksh90.00 | Ksh160.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kathonzweni | Makueni | Ksh110.00 | Ksh140.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Maua | Meru | Ksh60.00 | Ksh800.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kutus | Kirinyaga | Ksh100.00 | Ksh140.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Gakoromone | Meru | Ksh100.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Diani Market | Kwale | Ksh120.00 | Ksh140.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 18.8% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Kipkaren
Avg W: Ksh65.00
Avg R: Ksh90.00
Spread: Ksh25.00
Vol: Ksh14.14
Voi Retail
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh113.33
Spread: Ksh113.33
Vol: Ksh9.43
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh94.00
Avg R: Ksh120.00
Spread: Ksh26.00
Vol: Ksh16.73
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh80.00
Avg R: Ksh140.00
Spread: Ksh60.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Diani Market
Avg W: Ksh115.00
Avg R: Ksh135.00
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh8.66
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh94.00
Avg R: Ksh120.00
Spread: Ksh26.00
Vol: Ksh16.73
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.