Average wholesale
Ksh91.35
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh141.09
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh49.74
54.4% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-6.3%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh96.29 | Ksh133.44 |
| D+2 | Ksh96.59 | Ksh133.28 |
| D+3 | Ksh96.89 | Ksh133.13 |
| D+4 | Ksh97.19 | Ksh132.97 |
| D+5 | Ksh97.50 | Ksh132.81 |
| D+6 | Ksh97.80 | Ksh132.65 |
| D+7 | Ksh98.10 | Ksh132.50 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Nkubu | Meru | Ksh111.11 | Ksh120.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Mogogosiek Market | Bomet | Ksh100.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh177.78 | Ksh225.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh120.00 | Ksh160.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh136.36 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kibuye | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Fri, 24 Apr 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh136.36 |
| Thu, 23 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh125.00 | Ksh160.00 |
| Wed, 22 Apr 2026 | Ahero | Kisumu | Ksh140.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Wed, 22 Apr 2026 | Embu Town | Embu | Ksh90.00 | Ksh110.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 6.3% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh145.45
Spread: Ksh145.45
Vol: Ksh12.86
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh121.25
Avg R: Ksh160.00
Spread: Ksh38.75
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh121.25
Avg R: Ksh160.00
Spread: Ksh38.75
Vol: Ksh0.00
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh145.45
Spread: Ksh145.45
Vol: Ksh12.86
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.