Average wholesale
Ksh35.68
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh66.52
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh30.84
86.4% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Rising (166.7%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh40.38 | Ksh65.56 |
| D+2 | Ksh40.62 | Ksh65.68 |
| D+3 | Ksh40.87 | Ksh65.80 |
| D+4 | Ksh41.11 | Ksh65.91 |
| D+5 | Ksh41.36 | Ksh66.03 |
| D+6 | Ksh41.60 | Ksh66.14 |
| D+7 | Ksh41.85 | Ksh66.26 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Maua | Meru | Ksh30.00 | Ksh35.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh25.00 | Ksh40.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh166.67 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh25.00 | Ksh35.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kathonzweni | Makueni | Ksh30.00 | Ksh50.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kagio | Kirinyaga | Ksh25.00 | Ksh40.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kibuye | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh107.14 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kipkaren | Kakamega | Ksh200.00 | Ksh300.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Khayega | Kakamega | Ksh83.33 | Ksh133.33 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh83.33 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Demand pressure detected
Retail moved up by 166.7% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Rising
High margin
Recommendation
Sellers should list sooner; buyers should lock supply early before the next update.
- Sellers: raise visibility (sponsored listing) and sell sooner.
- Buyers: negotiate early; consider alternative markets.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh25.67
Avg R: Ksh32.67
Spread: Ksh7.00
Vol: Ksh2.05
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh27.50
Avg R: Ksh45.00
Spread: Ksh17.50
Vol: Ksh5.00
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh75.52
Spread: Ksh75.52
Vol: Ksh8.14
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh75.52
Spread: Ksh75.52
Vol: Ksh8.14
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh27.50
Avg R: Ksh45.00
Spread: Ksh17.50
Vol: Ksh5.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh25.67
Avg R: Ksh32.67
Spread: Ksh7.00
Vol: Ksh2.05
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.