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Entry date: Tue, 12 May 2026
Market: Ahero
County scope: Kisumu
Data up to: Tue, 12 May 2026
Insight: Low
Forecast: Low
Fertilizer Trend at Ahero
Market-aware analytics for the selected entry — trend and forecast use Ahero, while best buy/sell comparisons are limited to Kisumu County.
Average wholesale
Ksh108.00
At Ahero up to selected date
Average retail
Ksh113.71
Selected market average retail
Average spread
Ksh5.71
5.3% spread vs wholesale
Ahero Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = selected market history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Rising (78.9%)
Condition: Tight supply
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh113.74 | Ksh120.18 |
| D+2 | Ksh114.50 | Ksh121.04 |
| D+3 | Ksh115.27 | Ksh121.90 |
| D+4 | Ksh116.03 | Ksh122.76 |
| D+5 | Ksh116.80 | Ksh123.62 |
| D+6 | Ksh117.56 | Ksh124.48 |
| D+7 | Ksh118.33 | Ksh125.35 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Prices at Ahero
Latest 10 entries for this market up to the selected entry date
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 12 May 2026 | Ahero | Kisumu | Ksh130.00 | Ksh136.00 |
| Tue, 12 May 2026 | Ahero | Kisumu | Ksh130.00 | Ksh136.00 |
| Tue, 12 May 2026 | Ahero | Kisumu | Ksh70.00 | Ksh76.00 |
| Wed, 22 Apr 2026 | Ahero | Kisumu | Ksh130.00 | Ksh136.00 |
| Wed, 22 Apr 2026 | Ahero | Kisumu | Ksh130.00 | Ksh136.00 |
| Wed, 22 Apr 2026 | Ahero | Kisumu | Ksh70.00 | Ksh76.00 |
| Tue, 14 Apr 2026 | Ahero | Kisumu | Ksh130.00 | Ksh136.00 |
| Tue, 14 Apr 2026 | Ahero | Kisumu | Ksh70.00 | Ksh76.00 |
| Tue, 07 Apr 2026 | Ahero | Kisumu | Ksh130.00 | Ksh136.00 |
| Tue, 07 Apr 2026 | Ahero | Kisumu | Ksh70.00 | Ksh76.00 |
Featured sellers
Products related to today’s market activity
Active boosted listings appear first. If slots remain, related Fertilizer products and latest marketplace items fill the section.
Boosted
Improved Kienyeji Chicken
Price
KES 900
per piece
Kenbro improved kienyeji on sale. Multiple birds above 2kilos dead weight...
View Product
Latest
CM
Latest
CM
Latest
Drill Planter
Price
KES 380,000
per 380,000
14 rows seed drill
Fertilizer and seed compartment
Light weight for tra...
View Product
AI Analyst Brief
Selected market signals + Kisumu market rankings • 14 days up to selected entry
Demand pressure detected
At Ahero, retail moved up by 78.9% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest Tight supply conditions.
Rising
Tight supply
Recommendation
Sellers should list sooner; buyers should lock supply early before the next update.
- Sellers: raise visibility (sponsored listing) and sell sooner.
- Buyers: negotiate early; compare alternative markets within the county.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in Kisumu County during the 14 days ending on the selected entry date (min 3 samples).
Kibuye
Avg W: Ksh50.00
Avg R: Ksh0.00
Spread: Ksh-50.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Ahero
Avg W: Ksh110.00
Avg R: Ksh116.00
Spread: Ksh6.00
Vol: Ksh28.28
Holo
Avg W: Ksh113.50
Avg R: Ksh125.00
Spread: Ksh11.50
Vol: Ksh25.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in Kisumu County during the 14 days ending on the selected entry date.
Holo
Avg W: Ksh113.50
Avg R: Ksh125.00
Spread: Ksh11.50
Vol: Ksh25.00
Ahero
Avg W: Ksh110.00
Avg R: Ksh116.00
Spread: Ksh6.00
Vol: Ksh28.28
Kibuye
Avg W: Ksh50.00
Avg R: Ksh0.00
Spread: Ksh-50.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and county-specific recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses 14 days ending on the selected entry date.
Notes
Logic
Trend & Forecast use entries from Ahero only.
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets inside Kisumu County by average retail price (last 14 days ending on selected entry date).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.