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Entry date: Thu, 28 May 2026
Market: Kerugoya
County scope: Kirinyaga
Data up to: Thu, 28 May 2026
Insight: Low
Forecast: Low
Rice Trend at Kerugoya
Market-aware analytics for the selected entry — trend and forecast use Kerugoya, while best buy/sell comparisons are limited to Kirinyaga County.
Average wholesale
Ksh163.61
At Kerugoya up to selected date
Average retail
Ksh190.00
Selected market average retail
Average spread
Ksh26.39
16.1% spread vs wholesale
Kerugoya Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = selected market history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Rising (11.1%)
Condition: Balanced
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh158.46 | Ksh184.71 |
| D+2 | Ksh157.92 | Ksh184.15 |
| D+3 | Ksh157.38 | Ksh183.59 |
| D+4 | Ksh156.84 | Ksh183.03 |
| D+5 | Ksh156.30 | Ksh182.48 |
| D+6 | Ksh155.76 | Ksh181.92 |
| D+7 | Ksh155.21 | Ksh181.36 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Prices at Kerugoya
Latest 10 entries for this market up to the selected entry date
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 28 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh165.00 | Ksh200.00 |
| Mon, 25 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh165.00 | Ksh200.00 |
| Wed, 20 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh165.00 | Ksh200.00 |
| Fri, 15 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh160.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Tue, 05 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh155.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh160.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh160.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Thu, 23 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh160.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Tue, 21 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh160.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Fri, 17 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh160.00 | Ksh180.00 |
Featured sellers
Products related to today’s market activity
Active boosted listings appear first. If slots remain, related Rice products and latest marketplace items fill the section.
Boosted
Quality Eggs
Price
KES 360
per crate
Quality Eggs,,,well parked,,,parking crates for sale
View Product
Latest
Fingerlings premium (Catfish al...
Price
KES 400
per kg
-Premium quality catfish fingerlings/live catfish/ tilapia fingerlings. G...
View Product
Latest
fresh Pixies
Price
KES 100
per kg
very fresh ready and sweet pixies fruits at the farm located at Kithumba ...
View Product
Latest
Watermelons for sale
Price
KES 30
per kg
2.5 acres of Sukari f1 watermelons. Average weight per fruit is 7.5kgs .s...
View Product
AI Analyst Brief
Selected market signals + Kirinyaga market rankings • 14 days up to selected entry
Demand pressure detected
At Kerugoya, retail moved up by 11.1% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest Balanced conditions.
Rising
Balanced
Recommendation
Sellers should list sooner; buyers should lock supply early before the next update.
- Sellers: raise visibility (sponsored listing) and sell sooner.
- Buyers: negotiate early; compare alternative markets within the county.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in Kirinyaga County during the 14 days ending on the selected entry date (min 3 samples).
Kagio
Avg W: Ksh95.00
Avg R: Ksh135.00
Spread: Ksh40.00
Vol: Ksh25.98
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh148.75
Avg R: Ksh168.75
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh2.17
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh163.75
Avg R: Ksh195.00
Spread: Ksh31.25
Vol: Ksh8.66
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in Kirinyaga County during the 14 days ending on the selected entry date.
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh163.75
Avg R: Ksh195.00
Spread: Ksh31.25
Vol: Ksh8.66
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh148.75
Avg R: Ksh168.75
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh2.17
Kagio
Avg W: Ksh95.00
Avg R: Ksh135.00
Spread: Ksh40.00
Vol: Ksh25.98
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and county-specific recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses 14 days ending on the selected entry date.
Notes
Logic
Trend & Forecast use entries from Kerugoya only.
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets inside Kirinyaga County by average retail price (last 14 days ending on selected entry date).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.