Average wholesale
Ksh178.51
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh334.09
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh155.58
87.2% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Rising (7.1%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh195.18 | Ksh257.52 |
| D+2 | Ksh195.59 | Ksh254.61 |
| D+3 | Ksh196.00 | Ksh251.70 |
| D+4 | Ksh196.41 | Ksh248.80 |
| D+5 | Ksh196.82 | Ksh245.89 |
| D+6 | Ksh197.23 | Ksh242.99 |
| D+7 | Ksh197.64 | Ksh240.08 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Kabati - Muranga | — | Ksh0.00 | Ksh280.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh188.89 | Ksh220.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh275.00 | Ksh330.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh460.00 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh220.00 | Ksh250.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh220.00 | Ksh250.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kangeta | Meru | Ksh200.00 | Ksh220.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Embu Town | Embu | Ksh300.00 | Ksh350.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Makutano Embu | Embu | Ksh190.00 | Ksh225.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Nkubu | Meru | Ksh200.00 | Ksh250.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Demand pressure detected
Retail moved up by 7.1% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Rising
High margin
Recommendation
Sellers should list sooner; buyers should lock supply early before the next update.
- Sellers: raise visibility (sponsored listing) and sell sooner.
- Buyers: negotiate early; consider alternative markets.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh188.89
Avg R: Ksh223.33
Spread: Ksh34.44
Vol: Ksh2.36
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh220.00
Avg R: Ksh250.00
Spread: Ksh30.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh466.67
Spread: Ksh466.67
Vol: Ksh9.43
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh466.67
Spread: Ksh466.67
Vol: Ksh9.43
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh220.00
Avg R: Ksh250.00
Spread: Ksh30.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh188.89
Avg R: Ksh223.33
Spread: Ksh34.44
Vol: Ksh2.36
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.