Average wholesale
Ksh60.12
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh82.39
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh22.27
37.0% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-27.3%)
Condition: Balanced
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh46.46 | Ksh81.08 |
| D+2 | Ksh46.43 | Ksh80.88 |
| D+3 | Ksh46.39 | Ksh80.69 |
| D+4 | Ksh46.35 | Ksh80.50 |
| D+5 | Ksh46.32 | Ksh80.31 |
| D+6 | Ksh46.28 | Ksh80.11 |
| D+7 | Ksh46.25 | Ksh79.92 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Sabatia | Kakamega | Ksh57.78 | Ksh68.18 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh91.11 | Ksh110.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh71.43 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh68.18 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Katito | Kisumu | Ksh75.00 | Ksh78.26 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kutus | Kirinyaga | Ksh77.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kipkaren | Kakamega | Ksh130.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kangeta | Meru | Ksh70.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Embu Town | Embu | Ksh66.00 | Ksh75.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Makutano Embu | Embu | Ksh90.00 | Ksh120.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 27.3% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest Balanced conditions.
Falling
Balanced
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh88.15
Avg R: Ksh74.07
Spread: Ksh-14.07
Vol: Ksh50.81
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh96.24
Spread: Ksh96.24
Vol: Ksh44.86
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh96.24
Spread: Ksh96.24
Vol: Ksh44.86
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh88.15
Avg R: Ksh74.07
Spread: Ksh-14.07
Vol: Ksh50.81
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.