Premium Market Intelligence Entry date: Wed, 08 Jul 2026 Market: Vanga County scope: Kwale Data up to: Wed, 08 Jul 2026 Insight: Low Forecast: Low

Sardines Trend at Vanga

Market-aware analytics for the selected entry — trend and forecast use Vanga, while best buy/sell comparisons are limited to Kwale County.

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Average wholesale
Ksh133.24
At Vanga up to selected date
Average retail
Ksh160.98
Selected market average retail
Average spread
Ksh27.74
20.8% spread vs wholesale
Vanga Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = selected market history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-68.0%) Condition: Balanced
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
Day Wholesale Retail
D+1 Ksh101.18 Ksh120.74
D+2 Ksh97.61 Ksh116.27
D+3 Ksh94.05 Ksh111.80
D+4 Ksh90.49 Ksh107.33
D+5 Ksh86.93 Ksh102.86
D+6 Ksh83.37 Ksh98.39
D+7 Ksh79.80 Ksh93.92
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Prices at Vanga
Latest 10 entries for this market up to the selected entry date
Official feed
Date Market County Wholesale Retail
Wed, 08 Jul 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh60.00 Ksh80.00
Wed, 08 Jul 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh60.00 Ksh80.00
Tue, 07 Jul 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh60.00 Ksh80.00
Tue, 07 Jul 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh60.00 Ksh80.00
Mon, 06 Jul 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh125.00 Ksh150.00
Thu, 02 Jul 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh60.00 Ksh80.00
Thu, 28 May 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh240.00 Ksh260.00
Fri, 24 Apr 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh220.00 Ksh250.00
Tue, 21 Apr 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh220.00 Ksh250.00
Sat, 18 Apr 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh220.00 Ksh250.00
Featured sellers

Products related to today’s market activity

Active boosted listings appear first. If slots remain, related Sardines products and latest marketplace items fill the section.

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AI Analyst Brief
Selected market signals + Kwale market rankings • 14 days up to selected entry
Insight
Cooling trend detected

At Vanga, retail dropped by 68.0% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest Balanced conditions.

Falling Balanced
Recommendation

Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.

  • Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
  • Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)

Based on average retail in Kwale County during the 14 days ending on the selected entry date (min 3 samples).

Vanga
Kwale • 6 samples
Avg W: Ksh70.83
Avg R: Ksh91.67
Spread: Ksh20.83
Vol: Ksh26.09
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)

Based on average retail in Kwale County during the 14 days ending on the selected entry date.

Vanga
Kwale • 6 samples
Avg W: Ksh70.83
Avg R: Ksh91.67
Spread: Ksh20.83
Vol: Ksh26.09
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Best market ranking uses 14 days ending on the selected entry date.
Notes
Logic
Trend & Forecast use entries from Vanga only.
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets inside Kwale County by average retail price (last 14 days ending on selected entry date).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.