Average wholesale
Ksh77.54
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh137.56
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh60.02
77.4% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Stable (3.1%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh71.79 | Ksh137.85 |
| D+2 | Ksh71.51 | Ksh137.70 |
| D+3 | Ksh71.23 | Ksh137.56 |
| D+4 | Ksh70.94 | Ksh137.41 |
| D+5 | Ksh70.66 | Ksh137.26 |
| D+6 | Ksh70.38 | Ksh137.11 |
| D+7 | Ksh70.10 | Ksh136.96 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh80.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Sabatia | Kakamega | Ksh133.33 | Ksh134.62 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh125.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh100.00 | Ksh140.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh120.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh100.00 | Ksh110.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh100.00 | Ksh110.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Embu Town | Embu | Ksh90.00 | Ksh110.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Makutano Embu | Embu | Ksh100.00 | Ksh140.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Nkubu | Meru | Ksh111.11 | Ksh120.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Market is Stable
Retail prices are Stable with an average spread of 77.4% between retail and wholesale.
Stable
High margin
Recommendation
Watch the next 2–3 updates for confirmation before making bulk decisions.
- If you’re selling, focus on quality and reliable supply.
- If you’re buying, compare counties/markets and negotiate early.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh100.00
Avg R: Ksh110.00
Spread: Ksh10.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh125.00
Spread: Ksh125.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh100.00
Avg R: Ksh140.00
Spread: Ksh40.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh120.00
Avg R: Ksh150.00
Spread: Ksh30.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh100.00
Avg R: Ksh140.00
Spread: Ksh40.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh125.00
Spread: Ksh125.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.