Average wholesale
Ksh29.01
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh77.87
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh48.86
168.4% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Rising (376.2%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh26.57 | Ksh104.55 |
| D+2 | Ksh26.67 | Ksh105.47 |
| D+3 | Ksh26.78 | Ksh106.39 |
| D+4 | Ksh26.89 | Ksh107.31 |
| D+5 | Ksh26.99 | Ksh108.23 |
| D+6 | Ksh27.10 | Ksh109.16 |
| D+7 | Ksh27.21 | Ksh110.08 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Kabati - Muranga | — | Ksh0.00 | Ksh35.00 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh35.00 | Ksh50.00 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Kakamega Town | Kakamega | Ksh80.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh30.00 | Ksh40.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ndanai Market | Bomet | Ksh60.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh111.11 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kinango | Kwale | Ksh48.00 | Ksh70.00 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kutus | Kirinyaga | Ksh30.00 | Ksh40.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Mulot | Bomet | Ksh150.00 | Ksh200.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Taveta Retail Market | Taita-Taveta | Ksh25.00 | Ksh35.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Demand pressure detected
Retail moved up by 376.2% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Rising
High margin
Recommendation
Sellers should list sooner; buyers should lock supply early before the next update.
- Sellers: raise visibility (sponsored listing) and sell sooner.
- Buyers: negotiate early; consider alternative markets.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Kabati - Muranga
Avg W: Ksh13.25
Avg R: Ksh38.75
Spread: Ksh25.50
Vol: Ksh2.17
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh30.00
Avg R: Ksh40.00
Spread: Ksh10.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh35.40
Avg R: Ksh50.00
Spread: Ksh14.60
Vol: Ksh6.32
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh120.45
Spread: Ksh120.45
Vol: Ksh7.34
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh35.40
Avg R: Ksh50.00
Spread: Ksh14.60
Vol: Ksh6.32
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh30.00
Avg R: Ksh40.00
Spread: Ksh10.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.