Average wholesale
Ksh32.24
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh84.49
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh52.25
162.1% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Rising (122.2%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh31.33 | Ksh78.26 |
| D+2 | Ksh31.40 | Ksh77.93 |
| D+3 | Ksh31.47 | Ksh77.60 |
| D+4 | Ksh31.55 | Ksh77.26 |
| D+5 | Ksh31.62 | Ksh76.93 |
| D+6 | Ksh31.70 | Ksh76.60 |
| D+7 | Ksh31.77 | Ksh76.27 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh25.00 | Ksh35.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh35.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Gakoromone | Meru | Ksh80.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kutus | Kirinyaga | Ksh30.00 | Ksh50.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kibuye | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh357.14 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kagio | Kirinyaga | Ksh30.00 | Ksh40.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh50.00 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh40.00 | Ksh60.00 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Makutano Embu | Embu | Ksh30.00 | Ksh50.00 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Kabati - Muranga | — | Ksh0.00 | Ksh66.67 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Demand pressure detected
Retail moved up by 122.2% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Rising
High margin
Recommendation
Sellers should list sooner; buyers should lock supply early before the next update.
- Sellers: raise visibility (sponsored listing) and sell sooner.
- Buyers: negotiate early; consider alternative markets.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh25.00
Avg R: Ksh33.00
Spread: Ksh8.00
Vol: Ksh2.16
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh36.67
Avg R: Ksh56.67
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh4.71
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh36.67
Avg R: Ksh80.00
Spread: Ksh43.33
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh36.67
Avg R: Ksh80.00
Spread: Ksh43.33
Vol: Ksh0.00
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh36.67
Avg R: Ksh56.67
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh4.71
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh25.00
Avg R: Ksh33.00
Spread: Ksh8.00
Vol: Ksh2.16
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.