Average wholesale
Ksh84.07
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh156.30
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh72.23
85.9% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-6.7%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh20.15 | Ksh166.44 |
| D+2 | Ksh16.85 | Ksh166.82 |
| D+3 | Ksh13.55 | Ksh167.21 |
| D+4 | Ksh10.25 | Ksh167.59 |
| D+5 | Ksh6.95 | Ksh167.97 |
| D+6 | Ksh3.65 | Ksh168.35 |
| D+7 | Ksh0.35 | Ksh168.74 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh160.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Maua | Meru | Ksh160.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Maua | Meru | Ksh120.00 | Ksh140.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Maua | Meru | Ksh140.00 | Ksh160.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh172.00 | Ksh250.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh160.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh150.00 | Ksh170.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kagio | Kirinyaga | Ksh140.00 | Ksh170.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kagio | Kirinyaga | Ksh80.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh160.00 | Ksh180.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 6.7% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Kibuye
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh137.50
Spread: Ksh137.50
Vol: Ksh37.50
Maua
Avg W: Ksh140.00
Avg R: Ksh160.00
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh16.33
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh150.00
Avg R: Ksh170.00
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh160.00
Avg R: Ksh180.00
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh160.00
Avg R: Ksh180.00
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh150.00
Avg R: Ksh170.00
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.