Average wholesale
Ksh28.42
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh84.09
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh55.67
195.9% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-50.0%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh37.47 | Ksh75.11 |
| D+2 | Ksh37.68 | Ksh75.01 |
| D+3 | Ksh37.88 | Ksh74.91 |
| D+4 | Ksh38.09 | Ksh74.80 |
| D+5 | Ksh38.29 | Ksh74.70 |
| D+6 | Ksh38.50 | Ksh74.60 |
| D+7 | Ksh38.70 | Ksh74.49 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh30.00 | Ksh60.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh200.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh80.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kathonzweni | Makueni | Ksh80.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Maua | Meru | Ksh20.00 | Ksh30.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kagio | Kirinyaga | Ksh15.00 | Ksh20.00 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh40.00 | Ksh60.00 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Makutano Embu | Embu | Ksh40.00 | Ksh60.00 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Kabati - Muranga | — | Ksh0.00 | Ksh60.00 |
| Fri, 24 Apr 2026 | Gakoromone | Meru | Ksh20.00 | Ksh30.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 50.0% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh36.67
Avg R: Ksh56.67
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh4.71
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh27.50
Avg R: Ksh60.00
Spread: Ksh32.50
Vol: Ksh0.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh80.00
Avg R: Ksh120.00
Spread: Ksh40.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh80.00
Avg R: Ksh120.00
Spread: Ksh40.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh27.50
Avg R: Ksh60.00
Spread: Ksh32.50
Vol: Ksh0.00
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh36.67
Avg R: Ksh56.67
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh4.71
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.