Premium Market Intelligence Updated: Wed, 04 Dec 2024 Insight: High Forecast: High

Avocado Trend, Best Markets & Forecast

Premium analytics to spot opportunity — best markets to buy/sell + a simple 7-day forecast.

Average wholesale
Ksh39.86
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh90.71
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh50.85
127.6% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-33.3%) Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
Day Wholesale Retail
D+1 Ksh29.73 Ksh87.30
D+2 Ksh29.38 Ksh87.05
D+3 Ksh29.04 Ksh86.79
D+4 Ksh28.69 Ksh86.54
D+5 Ksh28.35 Ksh86.29
D+6 Ksh28.00 Ksh86.03
D+7 Ksh27.66 Ksh85.78
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
Official feed
Date Market County Wholesale Retail
Tue, 02 Jun 2026 Ahero Kisumu Ksh100.00 Ksh150.00
Tue, 02 Jun 2026 Maua Meru Ksh21.67 Ksh40.00
Tue, 02 Jun 2026 Wundanyi Taita-Taveta Ksh0.00 Ksh50.00
Sun, 31 May 2026 Muhoroni Kisumu Ksh0.00 Ksh20.00
Sun, 31 May 2026 Kibuye Kisumu Ksh0.00 Ksh250.00
Sun, 31 May 2026 Kipkaren Kakamega Ksh30.00 Ksh50.00
Sat, 30 May 2026 Embu Town Embu Ksh30.00 Ksh70.00
Sat, 30 May 2026 Embu Town Embu Ksh50.00 Ksh100.00
Sat, 30 May 2026 Embu Town Embu Ksh50.00 Ksh100.00
Fri, 29 May 2026 Voi Retail Taita-Taveta Ksh0.00 Ksh30.00
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Insight
Cooling trend detected

Retail dropped by 33.3% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.

Falling High margin
Recommendation

Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.

  • Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
  • Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)

Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).

Kagio
Kirinyaga • 4 samples
Avg W: Ksh6.50
Avg R: Ksh11.25
Spread: Ksh4.75
Vol: Ksh1.30
Maua
Meru • 3 samples
Avg W: Ksh21.67
Avg R: Ksh40.00
Spread: Ksh18.33
Vol: Ksh0.00
Wundanyi
Taita-Taveta • 5 samples
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh54.00
Spread: Ksh54.00
Vol: Ksh16.25
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)

Based on average retail in the last 14 days.

Kabati - Muranga
3 samples
Avg W: Ksh20.00
Avg R: Ksh120.00
Spread: Ksh100.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Embu Town
Embu • 6 samples
Avg W: Ksh43.33
Avg R: Ksh86.67
Spread: Ksh43.33
Vol: Ksh19.72
Ngurubani Market
Kirinyaga • 4 samples
Avg W: Ksh50.00
Avg R: Ksh70.00
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh7.07
Premium Actions

Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.

Explore Entries
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.