Average wholesale
Ksh30.31
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh64.19
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh33.88
111.8% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Rising (20.0%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh24.63 | Ksh58.36 |
| D+2 | Ksh24.54 | Ksh58.21 |
| D+3 | Ksh24.44 | Ksh58.05 |
| D+4 | Ksh24.34 | Ksh57.90 |
| D+5 | Ksh24.24 | Ksh57.74 |
| D+6 | Ksh24.14 | Ksh57.59 |
| D+7 | Ksh24.04 | Ksh57.44 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh30.00 | Ksh60.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Nkubu | Meru | Ksh28.57 | Ksh50.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Voi Retail | Taita-Taveta | Ksh0.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kapkwen | Bomet | Ksh40.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh40.00 | Ksh60.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kathonzweni | Makueni | Ksh60.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Maua | Meru | Ksh45.00 | Ksh60.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kutus | Kirinyaga | Ksh40.00 | Ksh60.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Gakoromone | Meru | Ksh32.86 | Ksh35.71 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Demand pressure detected
Retail moved up by 20.0% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Rising
High margin
Recommendation
Sellers should list sooner; buyers should lock supply early before the next update.
- Sellers: raise visibility (sponsored listing) and sell sooner.
- Buyers: negotiate early; consider alternative markets.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Kagio
Avg W: Ksh35.00
Avg R: Ksh53.33
Spread: Ksh18.33
Vol: Ksh4.71
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh40.00
Avg R: Ksh60.00
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh30.00
Avg R: Ksh60.00
Spread: Ksh30.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Voi Retail
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh110.00
Spread: Ksh110.00
Vol: Ksh10.00
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh102.40
Spread: Ksh102.40
Vol: Ksh5.99
Diani Market
Avg W: Ksh75.00
Avg R: Ksh95.00
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh8.66
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.