Average wholesale
Ksh179.83
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh282.94
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh103.11
57.3% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-28.0%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh191.13 | Ksh285.81 |
| D+2 | Ksh191.88 | Ksh286.24 |
| D+3 | Ksh192.63 | Ksh286.68 |
| D+4 | Ksh193.39 | Ksh287.12 |
| D+5 | Ksh194.14 | Ksh287.56 |
| D+6 | Ksh194.90 | Ksh287.99 |
| D+7 | Ksh195.65 | Ksh288.43 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh180.00 | Ksh270.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Voi Retail | Taita-Taveta | Ksh0.00 | Ksh250.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Voi Wholesale | Taita-Taveta | Ksh160.00 | Ksh0.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kathonzweni | Makueni | Ksh300.00 | Ksh400.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kutus | Kirinyaga | Ksh150.00 | Ksh220.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kibuye | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kagio | Kirinyaga | Ksh150.00 | Ksh200.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh384.62 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh140.00 | Ksh170.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 28.0% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh213.33
Avg R: Ksh270.00
Spread: Ksh56.67
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh213.33
Avg R: Ksh270.00
Spread: Ksh56.67
Vol: Ksh0.00
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.