Average wholesale
Ksh22.19
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh74.19
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh52.00
234.3% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-9.1%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh11.13 | Ksh75.62 |
| D+2 | Ksh10.76 | Ksh75.81 |
| D+3 | Ksh10.40 | Ksh75.99 |
| D+4 | Ksh10.04 | Ksh76.18 |
| D+5 | Ksh9.68 | Ksh76.37 |
| D+6 | Ksh9.32 | Ksh76.56 |
| D+7 | Ksh8.96 | Ksh76.75 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Voi Retail | Taita-Taveta | Ksh0.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh70.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh25.00 | Ksh30.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kathonzweni | Makueni | Ksh60.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kutus | Kirinyaga | Ksh30.00 | Ksh40.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kagio | Kirinyaga | Ksh20.00 | Ksh30.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kibuye | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh200.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kagio | Kirinyaga | Ksh20.00 | Ksh30.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh90.91 |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh40.00 | Ksh60.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 9.1% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh21.67
Avg R: Ksh28.33
Spread: Ksh6.67
Vol: Ksh2.36
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh31.67
Avg R: Ksh50.00
Spread: Ksh18.33
Vol: Ksh8.16
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh92.80
Spread: Ksh92.80
Vol: Ksh1.34
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Voi Retail
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh106.67
Spread: Ksh106.67
Vol: Ksh9.43
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh92.80
Spread: Ksh92.80
Vol: Ksh1.34
Makutano Kirinyaga
Avg W: Ksh31.67
Avg R: Ksh50.00
Spread: Ksh18.33
Vol: Ksh8.16
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.