Premium Market Intelligence Updated: Fri, 24 Apr 2026 Insight: Low Forecast: Low

Sardines Trend, Best Markets & Forecast

Premium analytics to spot opportunity — best markets to buy/sell + a simple 7-day forecast.

Average wholesale
Ksh160.00
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh192.66
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh32.66
20.4% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Rising (11,011.1%) Condition: Balanced
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
Day Wholesale Retail
D+1 Ksh255.11 Ksh291.27
D+2 Ksh272.40 Ksh309.20
D+3 Ksh289.70 Ksh327.13
D+4 Ksh306.99 Ksh345.06
D+5 Ksh324.28 Ksh362.99
D+6 Ksh341.58 Ksh380.92
D+7 Ksh358.87 Ksh398.85
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
Official feed
Date Market County Wholesale Retail
Fri, 24 Apr 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh220.00 Ksh250.00
Tue, 21 Apr 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh220.00 Ksh250.00
Sat, 18 Apr 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh220.00 Ksh250.00
Wed, 15 Apr 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh200.00 Ksh230.00
Tue, 14 Apr 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh200.00 Ksh230.00
Fri, 10 Apr 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh135.00 Ksh230.00
Mon, 06 Apr 2026 Vanga Kwale Ksh200.00 Ksh230.00
Sat, 07 Dec 2024 Vanga Kwale Ksh1.67 Ksh2.25
Fri, 06 Dec 2024 Vanga Kwale Ksh3.33 Ksh4.33
Mon, 25 Nov 2024 Vanga Kwale Ksh200.00 Ksh250.00
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Insight
Demand pressure detected

Retail moved up by 11,011.1% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest Balanced conditions.

Rising Balanced
Recommendation

Sellers should list sooner; buyers should lock supply early before the next update.

  • Sellers: raise visibility (sponsored listing) and sell sooner.
  • Buyers: negotiate early; consider alternative markets.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)

Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).

Vanga
Kwale • 3 samples
Avg W: Ksh220.00
Avg R: Ksh250.00
Spread: Ksh30.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)

Based on average retail in the last 14 days.

Vanga
Kwale • 3 samples
Avg W: Ksh220.00
Avg R: Ksh250.00
Spread: Ksh30.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
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Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.