Average wholesale
Ksh253.00
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh280.00
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh27.00
10.7% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-10.0%)
Condition: Balanced
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh254.00 | Ksh279.33 |
| D+2 | Ksh254.18 | Ksh279.21 |
| D+3 | Ksh254.36 | Ksh279.09 |
| D+4 | Ksh254.55 | Ksh278.97 |
| D+5 | Ksh254.73 | Ksh278.85 |
| D+6 | Ksh254.91 | Ksh278.73 |
| D+7 | Ksh255.09 | Ksh278.61 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 24 Apr 2026 | Vanga | Kwale | Ksh250.00 | Ksh270.00 |
| Tue, 21 Apr 2026 | Vanga | Kwale | Ksh200.00 | Ksh220.00 |
| Sun, 19 Apr 2026 | Vanga | Kwale | Ksh270.00 | Ksh300.00 |
| Sat, 18 Apr 2026 | Vanga | Kwale | Ksh270.00 | Ksh300.00 |
| Wed, 15 Apr 2026 | Vanga | Kwale | Ksh270.00 | Ksh300.00 |
| Sat, 11 Apr 2026 | Vanga | Kwale | Ksh250.00 | Ksh270.00 |
| Fri, 10 Apr 2026 | Vanga | Kwale | Ksh300.00 | Ksh350.00 |
| Thu, 09 Apr 2026 | Vanga | Kwale | Ksh270.00 | Ksh300.00 |
| Mon, 06 Apr 2026 | Vanga | Kwale | Ksh250.00 | Ksh270.00 |
| Sat, 23 Nov 2024 | Vanga | Kwale | Ksh200.00 | Ksh220.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 10.0% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest Balanced conditions.
Falling
Balanced
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Vanga
Avg W: Ksh247.50
Avg R: Ksh272.50
Spread: Ksh25.00
Vol: Ksh32.69
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Vanga
Avg W: Ksh247.50
Avg R: Ksh272.50
Spread: Ksh25.00
Vol: Ksh32.69
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.