Average wholesale
Ksh46.91
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh87.96
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh41.05
87.5% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-18.8%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh42.56 | Ksh76.49 |
| D+2 | Ksh42.44 | Ksh76.13 |
| D+3 | Ksh42.33 | Ksh75.77 |
| D+4 | Ksh42.22 | Ksh75.41 |
| D+5 | Ksh42.10 | Ksh75.05 |
| D+6 | Ksh41.99 | Ksh74.69 |
| D+7 | Ksh41.88 | Ksh74.33 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh120.00 | Ksh140.00 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Sabatia | Kakamega | Ksh100.00 | Ksh125.00 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Kakamega Town | Kakamega | Ksh60.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh80.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ndanai Market | Bomet | Ksh75.00 | Ksh1,000.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh75.00 | Ksh140.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Gakoromone | Meru | Ksh100.00 | Ksh120.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh142.86 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kinango | Kwale | Ksh125.00 | Ksh200.00 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Diani Market | Kwale | Ksh120.00 | Ksh140.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 18.8% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Kipkaren
Avg W: Ksh65.00
Avg R: Ksh90.00
Spread: Ksh25.00
Vol: Ksh14.14
Kakamega Town
Avg W: Ksh66.67
Avg R: Ksh93.33
Spread: Ksh26.67
Vol: Ksh9.43
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh109.37
Spread: Ksh109.37
Vol: Ksh23.72
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh78.75
Avg R: Ksh140.00
Spread: Ksh61.25
Vol: Ksh0.00
Kutus
Avg W: Ksh110.00
Avg R: Ksh140.00
Spread: Ksh30.00
Vol: Ksh8.16
Diani Market
Avg W: Ksh116.67
Avg R: Ksh136.67
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh7.45
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.