Average wholesale
Ksh90.10
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh140.09
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh49.99
55.5% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Rising (15.4%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh97.50 | Ksh147.18 |
| D+2 | Ksh97.68 | Ksh147.36 |
| D+3 | Ksh97.86 | Ksh147.54 |
| D+4 | Ksh98.04 | Ksh147.72 |
| D+5 | Ksh98.22 | Ksh147.90 |
| D+6 | Ksh98.40 | Ksh148.08 |
| D+7 | Ksh98.58 | Ksh148.26 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh120.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Sabatia | Kakamega | Ksh124.44 | Ksh115.38 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh100.00 | Ksh150.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh125.00 | Ksh165.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh140.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh140.00 | Ksh185.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh156.52 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh210.00 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Katito | Kisumu | Ksh125.00 | Ksh130.43 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh155.00 | Ksh170.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Demand pressure detected
Retail moved up by 15.4% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Rising
High margin
Recommendation
Sellers should list sooner; buyers should lock supply early before the next update.
- Sellers: raise visibility (sponsored listing) and sell sooner.
- Buyers: negotiate early; consider alternative markets.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh101.85
Avg R: Ksh150.00
Spread: Ksh48.15
Vol: Ksh0.00
Kipkaren
Avg W: Ksh116.67
Avg R: Ksh156.67
Spread: Ksh40.00
Vol: Ksh30.91
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh155.00
Avg R: Ksh170.00
Spread: Ksh15.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Kibuye
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh178.33
Spread: Ksh178.33
Vol: Ksh36.82
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh135.56
Avg R: Ksh175.00
Spread: Ksh39.44
Vol: Ksh10.27
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh170.75
Spread: Ksh170.75
Vol: Ksh22.66
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.