Average wholesale
Ksh22.53
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh37.01
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh14.49
64.3% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Rising (17.7%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh29.76 | Ksh30.71 |
| D+2 | Ksh29.97 | Ksh30.35 |
| D+3 | Ksh30.18 | Ksh29.99 |
| D+4 | Ksh30.38 | Ksh29.63 |
| D+5 | Ksh30.59 | Ksh29.26 |
| D+6 | Ksh30.80 | Ksh28.90 |
| D+7 | Ksh31.01 | Ksh28.54 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Kabati - Muranga | — | Ksh0.00 | Ksh45.00 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh30.00 | Ksh40.00 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Sabatia | Kakamega | Ksh37.50 | Ksh58.33 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Kakamega Town | Kakamega | Ksh50.00 | Ksh80.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh20.00 | Ksh30.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ndanai Market | Bomet | Ksh9.44 | Ksh20.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh20.00 | Ksh35.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Gakoromone | Meru | Ksh25.00 | Ksh30.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh58.82 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Katito | Kisumu | Ksh46.67 | Ksh41.67 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Demand pressure detected
Retail moved up by 17.7% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Rising
High margin
Recommendation
Sellers should list sooner; buyers should lock supply early before the next update.
- Sellers: raise visibility (sponsored listing) and sell sooner.
- Buyers: negotiate early; consider alternative markets.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Kutus
Avg W: Ksh10.00
Avg R: Ksh20.00
Spread: Ksh10.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Kagio
Avg W: Ksh16.75
Avg R: Ksh22.75
Spread: Ksh6.00
Vol: Ksh10.03
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh20.00
Avg R: Ksh28.33
Spread: Ksh8.33
Vol: Ksh2.36
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Voi Retail
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh86.67
Spread: Ksh86.67
Vol: Ksh9.43
Diani Market
Avg W: Ksh46.67
Avg R: Ksh66.67
Spread: Ksh20.00
Vol: Ksh4.71
Sabatia
Avg W: Ksh34.72
Avg R: Ksh61.87
Spread: Ksh27.15
Vol: Ksh2.50
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.