Average wholesale
Ksh27.38
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh48.23
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh20.84
76.1% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-38.3%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh21.77 | Ksh51.26 |
| D+2 | Ksh21.50 | Ksh51.21 |
| D+3 | Ksh21.23 | Ksh51.16 |
| D+4 | Ksh20.96 | Ksh51.11 |
| D+5 | Ksh20.69 | Ksh51.07 |
| D+6 | Ksh20.42 | Ksh51.02 |
| D+7 | Ksh20.15 | Ksh50.97 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh40.00 | Ksh45.00 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh38.00 | Ksh45.00 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Kakamega Town | Kakamega | Ksh42.22 | Ksh60.00 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Sabatia | Kakamega | Ksh44.44 | Ksh47.83 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh52.22 | Ksh60.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ndanai Market | Bomet | Ksh48.89 | Ksh140.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh59.09 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Katito | Kisumu | Ksh46.67 | Ksh65.22 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh55.00 | Ksh65.00 |
| Thu, 30 Apr 2026 | Kutus | Kirinyaga | Ksh50.00 | Ksh65.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 38.3% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh59.09
Spread: Ksh59.09
Vol: Ksh0.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh52.22
Avg R: Ksh60.00
Spread: Ksh7.78
Vol: Ksh0.00
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh55.00
Avg R: Ksh65.00
Spread: Ksh10.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Holo
Avg W: Ksh31.11
Avg R: Ksh90.00
Spread: Ksh58.89
Vol: Ksh28.58
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh55.00
Avg R: Ksh65.00
Spread: Ksh10.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh52.22
Avg R: Ksh60.00
Spread: Ksh7.78
Vol: Ksh0.00
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.