Average wholesale
Ksh40.59
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh71.99
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh31.39
77.3% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-54.5%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh48.75 | Ksh85.79 |
| D+2 | Ksh48.97 | Ksh86.28 |
| D+3 | Ksh49.20 | Ksh86.77 |
| D+4 | Ksh49.42 | Ksh87.25 |
| D+5 | Ksh49.65 | Ksh87.74 |
| D+6 | Ksh49.87 | Ksh88.23 |
| D+7 | Ksh50.09 | Ksh88.72 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Sabatia | Kakamega | Ksh40.00 | Ksh62.50 |
| Sat, 02 May 2026 | Kakamega Town | Kakamega | Ksh80.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Ngurubani Market | Kirinyaga | Ksh80.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Gakoromone | Meru | Ksh32.86 | Ksh35.71 |
| Fri, 01 May 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh32.26 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Taveta Retail Market | Taita-Taveta | Ksh75.00 | Ksh90.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Embu Town | Embu | Ksh37.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Makutano Embu | Embu | Ksh70.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Makutano Kirinyaga | Kirinyaga | Ksh70.00 | Ksh100.00 |
| Wed, 29 Apr 2026 | Kabati - Muranga | — | Ksh80.00 | Ksh100.00 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 54.5% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh32.66
Spread: Ksh32.66
Vol: Ksh1.35
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh77.50
Avg R: Ksh110.00
Spread: Ksh32.50
Vol: Ksh10.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh77.50
Avg R: Ksh110.00
Spread: Ksh32.50
Vol: Ksh10.00
Mumias
Avg W: Ksh0.00
Avg R: Ksh32.66
Spread: Ksh32.66
Vol: Ksh1.35
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.