Average wholesale
Ksh97.16
Across recent entries
Average retail
Ksh159.83
Market-wide average retail
Average spread
Ksh62.67
64.5% spread vs wholesale
Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-27.8%)
Condition: High margin
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh42.00 | Ksh156.53 |
| D+2 | Ksh40.17 | Ksh156.25 |
| D+3 | Ksh38.35 | Ksh155.98 |
| D+4 | Ksh36.52 | Ksh155.70 |
| D+5 | Ksh34.70 | Ksh155.42 |
| D+6 | Ksh32.87 | Ksh155.15 |
| D+7 | Ksh31.05 | Ksh154.87 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Market Prices
Latest 10 official entries
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Nkubu | Meru | Ksh111.11 | Ksh130.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Mogogosiek Market | Bomet | Ksh150.00 | Ksh200.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kapkwen | Bomet | Ksh150.00 | Ksh175.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Holo | Kisumu | Ksh200.00 | Ksh250.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh115.00 | Ksh125.00 |
| Tue, 28 Apr 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh140.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Mon, 27 Apr 2026 | Kawangware | Nairobi | Ksh115.00 | Ksh125.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Kibuye | Kisumu | Ksh0.00 | Ksh200.00 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Khayega | Kakamega | Ksh117.39 | Ksh130.43 |
| Sun, 26 Apr 2026 | Mumias | Kakamega | Ksh0.00 | Ksh173.91 |
AI Analyst Brief
Signals + best markets • window: last 14 days
Cooling trend detected
Retail dropped by 27.8% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest High margin conditions.
Falling
High margin
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days (min 3 samples).
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh115.00
Avg R: Ksh125.00
Spread: Ksh10.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh140.00
Avg R: Ksh180.00
Spread: Ksh40.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in the last 14 days.
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh140.00
Avg R: Ksh180.00
Spread: Ksh40.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Kawangware
Avg W: Ksh115.00
Avg R: Ksh125.00
Spread: Ksh10.00
Vol: Ksh0.00
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and “best county” recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses last 14 days only.
Notes
Logic
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets by average retail price (last 14 days).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.